As the media tracks the spread of the Omicron version of COVID, there are reports of additional outbreaks of highly pathogenic avian influenza (H5N1) in Europe. Like COVID, there are many varieties of avian influenza (AI) with low pathogenic the predominant form but high pathogenic forms constituting the deadliest. Despite these risks to domesticated poultry, which mostly come from exposure to wild birds and waterfowl in particular, global poultry production has continued to expand. Over the past 10-years, both Brazilian and U.S. poultry production has expanded at a CAGR of almost 2 percent. Despite AI, EU poultry production has grown at a CAGR of just over 1 percent. China is the world’s second largest producer of chicke...
Forecasting developments in production agriculture
On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.
Key Market Insights The broad market is locked in on this week’s Trump-Xi meeting in Beijing, but this is no longer just a trade summit. Increasingly, the meeting is becoming tied directly to Iran, energy security, and the growing global economic fallout from disruptions through the Strai...