Russian Grain Markets: 12–16 February 2024 The global bear market was shocking but it did not have an equal effect on the Russian grain market, which is still living under previously signed contracts, tenders, etc. However, huge stocks along with a global bearish trend and the upcoming planting campaign are not going to save the Russian market from a future bearish mood even if export duties soften. Some areas of Russia still trade milling wheat and barley at stable prices; however, this was only domestic trade, all export bids were unmistakably bearish - even with softer export duties and a weaker RUB. Just imagine what export trading will be like if export duties remain hard. Russia already lost a GASC tender to Ukraine and Romani...
Forecasting developments in production agriculture
On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.