Demand growth for coffee has been far less volatile than production and ending stocks. Ending stocks peaked at 25 percent of consumption in 2001 as the price sunk to $0.44/pound. However, there was a stronger reaction when stocks slipped to 17 percent of production in 2011, and the price peaked at $1.66/pound.  This year, coffee prices peaked at $2.41/pound but have now dropped to $1.68/pound. Surplus stocks have increased the same amount as consumption growth, but production is up four times the change in consumption or stocks. Basically, the market is comfortable that production is more than adequate to meet demand. ...