Last week’s USDA Quarterly Stocks report revealed that farmers are holding 36 percent more corn in on-farm storage than a year earlier. One rule of thumb is for farmers to calculate their break-even point and then market their crop over the marketing year. The old calculus, before South America became a counter-cyclical supplier, was for prices to be lowest at the start of the marketing year and then rise as supplies are depleted. That model is clearly discredited as corn prices now decline in the last few weeks of the marketing year. Farmers could try to continue holding on to their stocks, awaiting and hoping the market will eventually add a weather premium. Many larger farms are well capitalized for such a strategy. Bu...
Weighing in on strategic realignment
WPI’s team was retained by the governing board of a U.S. industry organization to review a decision, reached by vote, to invest significant assets into the development and management of an export trading company. WPI’s team conducted a formal review of this decision and concluded that the current level of market saturation would limit the benefits of the investment. Based on WPI’s analysis and recommended actions, the board subsequently reversed its decision and undertook a strategic planning effort to identify more impactful investments. On behalf of numerous clients, WPI has not only assisted in identifying strategic paths but also advised their implementation.