U.S. dairy exporters have kept product moving despite a strong dollar and softer global demand. Prices for dairy have moved higher and are expected to stay that way. Producer fixed costs such as labor and equipment have moved higher, but feed costs are dropping. There is also the threat of HPAI. But competitors also have their cost issues, with New Zealand dairy farmers complaining that their feed costs have risen 5 percent. U.S. dairy exports have not correlated with the change in prices, or the dollar. While global imports dropped 7.8 percent from 2021, U.S. dairy exports are down 4.2 percent over that period. The drop is not impacting higher value-added products like cheese, but more basic coproducts like nonfat milk. ...
Forecasting developments in production agriculture
On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.
Key Market Insights The broad market is locked in on this week’s Trump-Xi meeting in Beijing, but this is no longer just a trade summit. Increasingly, the meeting is becoming tied directly to Iran, energy security, and the growing global economic fallout from disruptions through the Strai...