As WPI readers know, the U.S. stock markets have recently seen heightened volatility due to surprising macroeconomic data and trends, including unemployment and interest rates. The data have been somewhat conflicting, with unemployment rates and inflation gauges offering different outlooks. WPI’s effort here is to take a look at the major macroeconomic factors driving markets and offer an outlook for the U.S. economy for the rest of 2024 and early 2025.  To do this, WPI looks at macroeconomics through three primary lenses: national-level factors, consumer income and financial trends, and consumer spending trends. The first, national-level factors, includes items such as the Treasury yield curve, the inflation rate(s), and labor...