Wednesday’s CBOT trade was almost entirely focused on positioning for the January WASDE that will be released at noon Thursday. For corn and soybeans, that meant cautiously higher trade with the markets following through on Tuesday’s late-day rallies. The soybean rally came despite weaker soyoil values that were pressured by spread trade and fund liquidation. Wheat, on the other hand, rallied in a notable round of short-covering after the markets plunged to new selloff lows yesterday. Other than the acreage outlook for the 2023/24 U.S. winter wheat crop, wheat traders will be focused on the WASDE’s adjustments to international balance sheets, with the most bullish expectations being for Argentina. Funds were net buyers for...
From WPI Consulting
Forecasting developments in production agriculture
On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.