More Russian complaints about the Black Sea export corridor agreement overnight helped push wheat higher in heavy volume. Wheat was the only market to see significant trade, however, and the other major ag markets drifted listlessly in low volume. The Kremlin said the outlook for the export deal is “not good” and noted again the “obstacles” to exporting its own grain crops. Russia is apparently angling to get back on the international SWIFT payment system, from which it was removed following the 2022 invasion of Ukraine. Beyond Russia’s statements, there was little fresh news for the grain and oilseed markets and futures largely continued their existing trends. Corn and soybeans saw active bull spreading...
Forecasting developments in production agriculture
On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.