The MarketDespite a decent USDA Export Sales report, the market continues to be weighed down by the large developing South American soybean crop. Soybean prices rose in the overnight market on short-covering but they resumed their decline on Thursday, falling below trendline support. March soybeans scored a new contract low. One report said the trade will be cautious until more is known about Trump policy developments (see below). On the week thus far, January soybeans are down 20.75 cents.11212024oilseeds_soybeans.png 1000.54 KBDecember soymeal is oversold and volume has declined as a result, but the decline continues with export sales today lower than expected. On the week thus far, the contract has lost a modest $1.90/ST. 11212024oilseed...
Forecasting developments in production agriculture
On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.
Key Market Insights The broad market is locked in on this week’s Trump-Xi meeting in Beijing, but this is no longer just a trade summit. Increasingly, the meeting is becoming tied directly to Iran, energy security, and the growing global economic fallout from disruptions through the Strai...