The U.S. has complained that India has underreported to the WTO on its wheat and rice subsidies, which involve the largest crops receiving support. However, the largest annual increases in the market support price (MSP) are going to soybeans and then maize. As previously noted, India’s soybean area expansion has been outpacing the rest of the world, no doubt encouraged by an MSP that jumped from Rs1440 crore/MT to Rs 3880 crore/MT between 2010 and 2021. The subsidy for maize grew the second fastest and India is now exporting a lot of corn into Southeast Asia. India’s new farm policy seeks to make the system more market oriented by allowing farmers to sell anywhere in the country instead of being restricted to the local ma...
Forecasting developments in production agriculture
On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.
Key Market Insights The broad market is locked in on this week’s Trump-Xi meeting in Beijing, but this is no longer just a trade summit. Increasingly, the meeting is becoming tied directly to Iran, energy security, and the growing global economic fallout from disruptions through the Strai...