As WPI has reported periodically, there are several policy requests for the Title I programs under the new farm bill. Most of them would add costs, such as more funding for crop insurance, higher reference prices under the Price Loss Coverage (PLC) program, and changes to the coverage of the Ag Risk Coverage (ARC) program including raising the cap for payments, currently at 10 percent of a county’s benchmark, and increasing the coverage level above the current 86 percent of the county revenue. The biggest surprise, however, is the National Corn Growers Association (NCGA) proposal released in July to update base acres. Taken by itself, it could result in lower program support. In combination with other changes, it could be more costly...
Forecasting developments in production agriculture
On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.
Key Market Insights The broad market is locked in on this week’s Trump-Xi meeting in Beijing, but this is no longer just a trade summit. Increasingly, the meeting is becoming tied directly to Iran, energy security, and the growing global economic fallout from disruptions through the Strai...