The USDA’s July WASDE was, as has been widely reported now, bearish new crop soybeans with a 52.0-BPA national yield and 4.3-Bbu crop projected. Since then, however, the soybean market has expressed concern over the recent shift in weather forecasts to feature hot, dry conditions for the Midwest into August. That has traders beginning to doubt the ability of this year’s crop to meet the July WASDE projection, which would tie the existing record high (set in 2016/17). Given these growing doubts, it seems prudent to examine what the U.S. soybean balance sheet and farm prices would look like under high- and low-yield scenarios.  Yield Expectations Early-season crop conditions ratings have a very poor correlation to final yie...