La Niña events are not infrequent and should provide some level of predictability. However, there is wide variability in each event, seed genetics consistently improve and so does crop forecasting capability. In the past three La Niña years between USDA’s December WASDE forecast for South American corn production and its June WASDE estimate, it has lowered its estimate for Argentine corn production two times and raised it once. Over that same period, USDA has also lowered its estimate for Brazilian corn production twice and raised it once, but not in the same years as the corresponding changes in Argentine production. In the 2015/16 La Niña, it lowered Brazilian production but raised Argentine output. In the 2011...
From WPI Consulting
Infrastructure investment due diligence
On behalf of a Canadian oilseed processer WPI's team provided market analysis, econometric modeling and financial due diligence in support of a $24 million-dollar investment in a Ukrainian crush plant. Consistent with WPI's findings, local production to supply the plant and the facility's output have expanded exponentially since the investment. WPI has conducted parallel work on behalf of U.S., South American and European clients, both private and public, in the agri-food space.