With the USDA’s annual Ag Outlook forum happening at the end of this month and planting season a little more than four weeks away for parts of the U.S., the industry is turning its attention to the acreage outlook for 2025. This year offers significant differences from recent conditions that will significantly impact farmers’ planting decisions. Chief among these are the perceived risks of planting soybeans heading into a year in which a trade war could erupt and a historically weak soy/corn ratio. WPI offers our thoughts on these factors as well as the latest forecasts from our models. Political Concerns Farmers facing the decision to plant soybeans face new political uncertainties in 2025, primarily from the threat of a...
Forecasting developments in production agriculture
On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.