Russian Grain Markets: 28 March-1 April 2022 Last week the domestic market went bearish. Prices for staple grains plummeted to relatively traditional levels after recent historic highs. Bearish trends effected all types of wheat and peas. While barley and corn remained quite volatile, the trend was bearish already, or on its way to being bearish. There are several factors involved. One, the global bearish trends and official strengthening of the Russian ruble and, last but not the least, the increased export duty. The only way for Russia to strengthen their local currency is to rewrite natural gas supply contracts with the EU so that the latter would start paying in rubles thus forcing them to buy rubles. This is still questionable, but w...
Forecasting developments in production agriculture
On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.