There is a great deal of speculation on whether Presidents Trump and Xi will actually meetand/or come to a deal at the G20 Summit in Osaka on 28 and 29 June. Much of the rhetoric from the U.S. side has continued to take a tough stance in trade talks with China. However, it is now more than a year into an “easy-to-win” trade war with that country, which is longer than anticipated. More importantly from a political perspective, the conflict has slipped into the U.S. election cycle for 2020. In fact, Trump will be holding a 2020 campaign kickoff rally in Orlando, Florida (a key swing state in his 2016 victory) tomorrow night. Indeed, there are domestic political reasons to make progress with China, notwithstanding the core issues...
Accountability and a comprehensive approach to export programming
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Key Market Insights The broad market is locked in on this week’s Trump-Xi meeting in Beijing, but this is no longer just a trade summit. Increasingly, the meeting is becoming tied directly to Iran, energy security, and the growing global economic fallout from disruptions through the Strai...