It was mostly a risk-off day as the prospects for better Midwest weather combined with continued technical selling sent prices lower. It may not be the bottom, but there may be hesitancy to get too far out ahead of the “real” prevented planting number. Moreover, it is still hot, and rainfall is not perfect. It is actually hot and dry in many places around the world, and this is creating unfavorable crop conditions in parts of Europe, China, India and Australia. There are also moisture concerns for Canadian wheat, but when aren’t there always weather concerns somewhere? Prognosticators still report prevented planting acres at 7-8 million for corn and 2-3 million for soybeans, although there are skeptics. Some believe that...
From WPI Consulting
Forecasting developments in production agriculture
On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.