The CBOT was mostly lower in two-sided trade with the soy complexed leading the way lower. Soymeal fell to a three-month low as charts and technical conditions continue to deteriorate, and that helped pull soybeans lower too. The corn and wheat markets failed to find much support from Monday’s Crop Progress/Conditions report, despite worsening wheat conditions and delays planting the spring crops. The lack of reaction to USDA’s report yesterday suggests the market has already priced in these effects and it may take another week or two of significant planting delays and persistently low wheat ratings to spark another rally in futures. Outside markets were mixed with investors surprisingly adding to long equity positions ah...
Forecasting developments in production agriculture
On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.