Mediterranean/Middle East/North Africa/Africa – MEA Region Turkey’s barley imports in 2025/26 are forecasted to reach 1.7 MMT, up from only 150,000 MT in 2024/25. The increase is due to the expected 13 percent drought-related drop in barley production this year. Turkey’s imports of barley so far in 2025 have increased from 2024’s level of 36,000 MT to 233,000 MT. Turkey’s wheat production for 2025/26 is also forecasted to be lower — down 15 percent — at 16.3 million MT. The drop in production is all due to drought, as over 80 percent of Turkey’s wheat and barley crops depend on rainfall. Wheat imports for 2025/26 could reach 7.3 MMT. However, Turkey’s wheat flour exports are expected to...
From WPI Consulting
Forecasting developments in production agriculture
On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.