The Agricultural Outlook Report published by China’s Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs established the goal of 88.4 percent self-sufficiency in grain (rice, wheat, corn, and soybeans) by 2032. The agency merges all four crops together because it cannot achieve that level of self-sufficiency in soybeans alone. The current self-sufficiency rate for the four combined is 82 percent. This is because self-sufficiency in rice, corn and wheat is already in the low to mid-90th percentile. Soybeans are the laggard at only 18 percent. China’s average yields for rice, corn and wheat are already above the world average. If China raised its average soybean yield to the world average of 2.99 MT/hectare, it would still only be 24...
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From WPI Consulting
Forecasting developments in production agriculture
On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.