U.S. first-quarter gross domestic product (GDP) growth reached 3.2 percent, according to the initial report from the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) last Friday. That estimate is subject to further revisions on 30 May. Of note are the following factors:
GDP growth came in far higher than pre-report expectations. GDP growth tends to be slower in the first quarter than in the other three quarters of the year, averaging 1.7 percent since 2010 versus 2.5 percent, respectively. Trade was the largest contributor to GDP growth despite the economic uncertainty on several fronts (e.g., USMCA, China, etc.).
The trade aspect of the recent GDP report will undoubtedly be discussed extensively in the media (and on Twitter) given Preside...
Key Market Insights The broad market is locked in on this week’s Trump-Xi meeting in Beijing, but this is no longer just a trade summit. Increasingly, the meeting is becoming tied directly to Iran, energy security, and the growing global economic fallout from disruptions through the Strai...
