The trade war has sparked curiosity about whether it will do long-term damage to the U.S. soybean industry. The answer is a bit complicated. Theoretically it will if it lasts a long time, but “damage” is a relative term. The U.S. grows a lot of soybeans (plus wheat and corn) because it has the appropriate agronomics for it. The agronomics are so good that many different plants could be grown but land is allocated to the greatest return on investment. If soybeans aren’t selling, there will be the search for whatever else will cash flow.  It should be noted that government support programs have their influence but in a 1980’s modeling exercise assessing the implications of a multilateral agreement that eliminate...