During this winter wheat planting period in the U.S., it is important to note that the area planted to wheat has declined in recent years. This is due in part to the greater profitability of corn and soybeans, as well as the favorable genetic changes in the latter two crops and climate change. Weather can affect the planting of wheat as well as the number of acres ultimately harvested, but generally there is a strong correlation between the two. The wheat planted to harvested ratio over the past decade has been consistently in the low to mid 80 percentile, with an overall average of 83.6 percent. Without distinguishing amongst the six different major types of wheat grown in the U.S., the fact is that there is land solely suitable to...
Forecasting developments in production agriculture
On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.